Friday, December 10, 2004

Is the chicken crying wolf, or is the wolf giving us fears?


U.S. warns of terrorist lasers

Thursday, December 9, 2004 Posted: 9:38 PM EST (0238 GMT) CNN.COM

There's a known effect in which if someone, or a group of people, are kept in a state of fear, then they are more suggestible. "Suggestible" meaning, you can suggest to them ideas or thoughts which would be outrageous in normal circumstances, but acceptible while in the place of fear.

Michael Moore mentioned this in one section of Farhenheit 9/11 noting how there would be repeated warnings. The example he used was a Christmas season and vague warnings were made of attacks on shopping centers, and he showed dozens of person-in-the-street interviews of people out shopping and saying outrageous things about how they could be attacked by Terrorists at any time.

Okay, lasers aimed at pilots on landing approach to airports. Hmmmm...

Why take any story we see at face value? Why not ponder for a moment and ask yourself "Is this true, or not"?

The first and most important is to read the full story and digest everything it says. The tendency might be to just read the first few paragraphs and stop right there.

This sounds reasonable enough of a warning, eh? It builds on the idea we've been told for years, that lasers can cause blindness, so if a laser were to hit the cockpit of an aircraft on landing then the pilot would be blinded and the airplane crash, yes? And if you read just the first couple paragraphs, that's all you'll get, and you'll miss the interesting things towards the end.

Like ...

There is no specific intelligence indicating al Qaeda or other groups might use lasers in the United States

Although lasers are not proven methods of attack like improvised explosive devices and hijackings

"In certain circumstances, if laser weapons adversely affect the eyesight of both pilot and co-pilot during a non-instrument approach, there is a risk of airliner crash," the agencies said.

Here's a real clincher, for the attack to be effective there are several requirements. First, "non-instrument" approach, meaning that the pilots are flying visually rather than on instruments. Second, that both pilot and copilot would be affected.

The odds, it seems to me, of both pilot and copilot being affected are extremely low. It would be hard enough to hit the airliner cockpit (it's a moving target), so to throw in the requirement that the laser hit (and blind) both occupants just makes it that much harder.

We also see a simple defense, just require all approaches to be on instrument. Airliner pilots practice instrument flying all the time, and they have to know how to do this to fly through the nasty storms they sometimes go into. Pilots on instrument mode wear hoods that block sight of all but the instruments, and would completely block a laser attack.

Lasers can cause temporary blindness and severely damage the eye by burning the retina. The bulletin notes they are "relatively inexpensive, portable, easy to conceal and readily available on the open market."

Lasers are commonly used in a number of industries and are featured in outdoor light shows. A variety of more powerful military-grade lasers are produced around the world, but there is no evidence that terrorist groups have managed to obtain one, according to federal officials.

The final question is, how obtainable is a laser that can reach the several miles of distance required to do anything effective to occupants of a cockpit. Would it be the kind of laser that's under $1000 and can be obtained in lots of places? Or is it the more powerful military-grade laser?

All I'm trying to demonstrate is the need to take the world with a grain or two of salt. This may be a real danger. As always, consult your doctor before changing your medications. For other disclaimers read the New York Times.

Article Reference: 

Just for the record ... Ashcroft is a Prude


Justice Department covers partially nude statues

01/29/2002 - Updated 09:54 AM ET USATODAY.COM

Lest we forget in the rush of insanity over the last couple years, three years ago Attorney General Ashcroft ordered the covering of the Spirit Of Justice and the Majesty of Law. These are two partially nude statues in the Great Hall of the Department of Justice building. Their design stems from ancient Grecian (I suppose) semi-deities governing the Rule of Law.

Ashcroft apparently was uncomfortable appearing with naked breasts in the background. It seems fitting, in a way, that the symbol of his term as Attorney General was to cover up the Spirit of Justice so that he wouldn't appear in public with naked breasts in the background.

Tuesday, November 30, 2004

Democracy in-action, U.S. versus Ukraine

An interesting sideline to the U.S. national election just concluded, is the Ukraine election which happened at the same time. Both elections ended in a very close vote, with a certain cloudiness to the results. Yet in the U.S. there's no outcry, while in the Ukraine the "loser" refused to take on the "loser" role, and instead declared that he really is the winner, that the election was rigged, and there have been mass protests in the streets since.

Democracy inaction If U.S. officials who are complaining about election fraud in Ukraine applied the same standards in Ohio, then our own presidential election certainly was stolen. By James K. Galbraith; salon.com Nov. 30, 2004

In this salon.com article, Galbraith compares the election results in Ohio with the Ukraine, and thinks the U.S. form of democracy is coming up wanting. I wonder, in 2000, how much of of Al Gore's calculus was being shy of risking a confrontation, risking raising the ire of the people. Would (I'm thinking out loud) the republicrats be afraid they'd lose control of the game if the people were to take to the streets in a massive way as they are in the Ukraine? And what of Kerry's calculus in 2000? One side is that he could simply return to being a Senator, and try again in 2008, while another side is the size of the vote gap that we covered earlier, and the unlikelihood of any recoount overcoming the size of the gap.

It's interesting to ponder "what if" either democratic candidate had been braver. But what about us, the people, of whom this more perfect union is created? Where is our will in this? It is, supposedly, our will which causes the more perfect union that is this country to exist, yes? Why is our will so badly represented by our supposed representatives?

Since that's such a large question, I'll just have to leave that as a question for the reader to ponder.

In the meantime you might find the companion article also interesting: Where democracy refuses to die The media was pro-government. In much of the country, the election machinery was controlled by the ruling party. Voter fraud was rampant. But the people of Ukraine will not surrender. By David Talbot; salon.com Nov. 30, 2004

The Talbot article is an interview of Olena Prytula, editor in chief of Ukrayinska Pravda (Ukrainian Truth).

You know, as Stalin said, it doesn't matter who votes, it's who counts.
In the disputed regions of Ukraine, Yanukovych's people controlled the results counting. Comparitively, in Ohio it was George W Bush's Ohio Campaign manager who was also the Secretary of State and hence in control of the people counting the results. As they say, it doesn't matter who votes, but who does the counting.

Monday, November 29, 2004

China, ASEAN to create trade bloc

Hmm, the world global economy is shaping up into a few large trading blocks.

China, ASEAN to create trade bloc

Monday, November 29, 2004 Posted: 8:34 AM EST (1334 GMT) CNN.COM

Already existing is NAFTA (Canada+US+Mexico) and the EU (Europe).

I've seen proposals to expand NAFTA to more of the America's, and now China and ASEAN have agreed to form a free-trade zone.

That leaves me pondering the fate of other regions .. for example, India is not included in this new China/ASEAN bloc, and we have India and Pakistan in interesting conversations. That leaves Africa, the Middle East and Central Asia uncovered by "free-trade" zones.

That also leaves me pondering just who is served by these free trade agreements?

Friday, November 26, 2004

"Stunning" arms haul in Falluja


'Stunning' arms haul in Falluja


Thursday, 25 November, 2004, 15:55 GMT BBC.CO.UK

There was an assault launched upon Falluja, launched the week after the U.S. Presidential Election (convenient, that). The assault was intended to route out "insurgents" who are resisting the occupation of Iraq.

There are many reports, such as this, of weapons cache's found by the soldiers "clearing" Falluja. It shouldn't be surprising that these weapons are being found. The insurgents have obviously been getting their weapons from somewhere, and there is the little matter of rampant looting of the Iraqi army weaponry shortly after the invasion of Iraq. Though for some reason the news articles come across as if this is shocking and unexpected.

Ohio judge denies recount request


Ohio judge denies recount request


Wednesday, November 24, 2004 Posted: 7:55 AM EST (1255 GMT) CNN.COM

As noted previously there's a few questions of foul-play in the latest election. Some people requested a recount in Ohio, but the recount has been denied (for now) until the first count becomes "official". Once officialized the Judges will consider the recount request.

Monday, November 22, 2004

"We're Sorry" and "Apologies Accepted"

Here's an interesting bit of global healing that spontaneously sprang up after the 2004 US election.

http://www.sorryeverybody.com/ is a "foto blog" which is allowing people to express how sorry we are that Bush won this time. It's full of photographs ...

The companion site
http://www.apologiesaccepted.com/
is for people from around the world to say something like "we accept your apologies".

I'm really liking the outpouring of concern between the U.S. and the rest of the world that's happening through these two web sites. The highest purpose of the Internet is to provide connection between us all, and here it is happening.